Forecast evaluation

{
  "id": "MLC-T-MET-005712",
  "term": "Forecast evaluation",
  "field": "Meteorology and atmospheric science",
  "definition": "The systematic assessment of the quality and performance of weather forecasts, comparing predictions against actual observed conditions. This process involves statistical methods to quantify accuracy, bias, and skill, providing insights into model strengths and weaknesses. Metrics such as root mean square error, bias, and correlation coefficients are commonly used in this analysis.",
  "see_also": [
    "forecast verification"
  ],
  "url": "https://mlchart.com/terminology/meteorology/forecast-evaluation/"
}