Persistence forecast

{
  "id": "MLC-T-MET-002024",
  "term": "Persistence forecast",
  "field": "Meteorology and atmospheric science",
  "definitions": [
    "A weather prediction method that assumes future weather conditions will be the same as the present or recent past. For example, if it is raining now, a persistence forecast would predict rain for the next few hours or days. This type of forecast is most accurate for short time scales and in areas with stable weather patterns.",
    "A forecast that the current weather condition will persist and that future weather will be the same as the present (e.g., if it is raining today, a forecast predicting rain tonight)."
  ],
  "see_also": [
    "persistence",
    "random forecast",
    "probability forecast"
  ],
  "references": [
    "NWS Glossary"
  ],
  "url": "https://mlchart.com/terminology/meteorology/persistence-forecast/"
}