Random forecast

{
  "id": "MLC-T-MET-010713",
  "term": "Random forecast",
  "field": "Meteorology and atmospheric science",
  "definition": "A forecast that predicts future atmospheric conditions based on purely random chance, without any scientific basis or consideration of current or past meteorological data. Such a forecast serves as a baseline or null hypothesis against which the skill of actual meteorological forecasts can be objectively evaluated. Its accuracy is equivalent to guessing.",
  "see_also": [
    "persistence forecast",
    "probability forecast"
  ],
  "url": "https://mlchart.com/terminology/meteorology/random-forecast/"
}