Consensus averaging

{
  "id": "MLC-T-MET-010442",
  "term": "Consensus averaging",
  "field": "Meteorology and atmospheric science",
  "definition": "A method in ensemble forecasting that combines the output from multiple numerical weather prediction models or model runs into a single, averaged forecast. By calculating the mean of the ensemble members for a given variable, such as temperature or pressure, this technique smooths out individual model errors and outliers. The resulting consensus forecast generally provides a more reliable and skillful prediction than most of the individual members from which it is derived.",
  "url": "https://mlchart.com/terminology/meteorology/consensus-averaging/"
}