Consensus average
Term · Meteorology and atmospheric science · MLC-T-MET-004601
A single forecast value derived by averaging the outputs from multiple, independent numerical weather prediction models for a specific parameter at a given time and location. This technique aims to produce a more reliable forecast by smoothing out individual model errors and biases, creating a product that is often more accurate than any single model output. The final value is a simple arithmetic mean, although weighted averages based on past model performance can also be used.
| Identifier | MLC-T-MET-004601 |
|---|---|
| Field | Meteorology and atmospheric science |
Record as JSON
{
"id": "MLC-T-MET-004601",
"term": "Consensus average",
"field": "Meteorology and atmospheric science",
"definition": "A single forecast value derived by averaging the outputs from multiple, independent numerical weather prediction models for a specific parameter at a given time and location. This technique aims to produce a more reliable forecast by smoothing out individual model errors and biases, creating a product that is often more accurate than any single model output. The final value is a simple arithmetic mean, although weighted averages based on past model performance can also be used.",
"url": "https://mlchart.com/terminology/meteorology/consensus-average/"
}
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